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Scientists started engaged on vaccines in opposition to COVID-19 simply over a 12 months in the past. However in that quick span of time (unprecedented for vaccine improvement), a handful of vaccines have been licensed to be used around the globe and greater than 170 million pictures have now been delivered throughout since December alone. That quantity has already eclipsed the full variety of recorded COVID-19 instances for the reason that starting of the pandemic—and it’s set solely to develop.
Even so, the pandemic’s catastrophic results proceed to reverberate. Right here’s a few of the most essential COVID-19 information from internationally over the previous week.
Virus variants proceed to multiply
US public well being officers are intently watching the faster-spreading N.501.Y and B.1.1.7 strains of COVID-19 that seemingly originated in South Africa and the UK, respectively. However scientists have additionally recognized no fewer than seven new American-made variants. All seven appear to have originated within the US and, identical to the South African and UK variants, additionally appear to have mutated in ways in which make them in a position to unfold quicker than different variants. Some public well being researchers have famous that that is seemingly what’s generally known as convergent evolution, a phenomenon the place organisms unrelated to one another evolve comparable traits that assist them survive.
On this case, the variants of the SARS-CoV-2 all appear to be evolving comparable mutations that allow them to unfold extra rapidly than older variants. Whereas virologists aren’t shocked to see this taking place, it does imply that the virus may pose a bigger risk if these mutations proceed. It’s laborious for researchers to inform the place particularly within the nation the brand new variants might need originated. Within the US, researchers get pressure info on fewer than one in 100 COVID-19 check samples, leaving public well being consultants with an especially murky image.
Vaccine-makers are getting ready their countermoves in opposition to viral variants
Regardless of concern over variant strains, vaccines are serving to to plunge new case numbers, even in international locations such because the UK the place a few of these variants cultivated their unfold. And South Africa, tormented by the N.501.Y variant, has simply embarked by itself vaccination marketing campaign as the primary nation to start out rolling out the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson vaccine. Earlier this month, South Africa abruptly stopped utilizing the vaccine made by Oxford/Astra-Zeneca due to issues that it doesn’t work nicely sufficient in opposition to N.501.Y.
On a regular basis, vaccine-makers are tweaking their vaccines to defend in opposition to these faster-spreading strains. However policy- and vaccine-makers each face urgent questions: How and when do you deploy upgraded pictures, probably upending months of planning? The seasonal flu, which continually modifications throughout years and areas, could current an instance. However that mannequin depends on fastidiously monitoring flu strains—and in lots of locations, such because the US, that info for COVID-19 is sort of skinny certainly.
[Related: Read about how to prepare for getting the COVID-19 vaccine]
The CDC doubles down on masking up
The unfold of these variants has additionally spurred businesses just like the Facilities for Illness Management (CDC) to strengthen its recommendation: Put on a masks. However, as you may think, not all masks are equal. Specialised ones like N95 masks are designed to filter out 95 % of infectious airborne particles, however these are nonetheless principally reserved for healthcare staff. Extra widespread masks worn by the general public, reminiscent of material or surgical masks, are sometimes much less efficient, particularly in the event that they’re loosely worn.
However CDC experiments have proven how these widespread masks can, comparatively simply, be made simpler. Sporting a material masks over your surgical masks, for example, can block about 95% of probably virus-carrying aerosols (on par with an N95 masks). So can tightening your surgical masks by knotting the loops across the ear and tucking it in place in opposition to the face.
WHO investigators zoom in on COVID’s origin story
A World Well being Group (WHO) worldwide group has spent the previous weeks looking town of Wuhan for the pandemic’s floor zero. The actual fact-finders launched their findings, reaffirming prior studies that the virus originated in animals, seemingly bats, earlier than being transmitted to people by way of some yet-to-be-identified pathway. And it’s seemingly that the bats that transmitted the virus weren’t from Wuhan, however have been introduced there from someplace nearer to Southeast Asia.
However maybe extra importantly, their findings debunk the declare that’s been unfold by nationalists the world over: that COVID was created by people in a laboratory someplace. Nonetheless, the entire pandemic has been fraught with geopolitics and worldwide tensions, and this fact-finding expedition is not any exception. One of many WHO investigators has accused Chinese language authorities of being opaque and withholding info.
Researchers are doubtful that widespread colds forestall COVID
It may be tempting to imagine that, since different coronaviruses trigger the widespread chilly, the latter may give some folks’s immune methods—particularly youngsters’s—a leg up when the time got here to combat COVID-19. There’s some scientific meat to assist that: A UK-based research printed in Nature in December instructed that some individuals who had by no means been contaminated by COVID-19 possessed antibodies that would probably defend in opposition to the illness.
However new US-based analysis casts doubt on that concept, discovering that the antibodies in query couldn’t combat or mitigate COVID-19. It’s one research, so it’s removed from conclusive; it’s attainable that geographic variations could have performed a job within the divergent outcomes. But it surely does emphasize that the world can’t depend on pre-existing situations over vaccines for immunity.
The way forward for COVID: not eradicated, however manageable?
What occurs when the world goes again to one thing resembling a pre-pandemic regular? Will COVID-19 simply fade away? Public well being consultants state that it’s extremely unlikely. The one illness to have ever been totally eradicated, in spite of everything, is smallpox. We additionally don’t but know if it’s attainable that folks may get re-infected with COVID-19 years sooner or later.
As a substitute, some public well being consultants speculate that the coronavirus could subside into one thing extra mundane, just like the flu. The virus behind the 1918 influenza pandemic, for example, ultimately mutated down into the widespread seasonal flu. And we within the 2020s have one thing that the world of a century in the past didn’t: vaccines.
Even so, some public well being consultants strongly warn in opposition to treating COVID just like the flu, saying that COVID is a completely nastier kind of illness.